Wednesday, March 19, 2008
What the Experts said on the War in Iraq
Christopher Cerf and Victor S. Navasky, on the 5th anniversary of its beginning, report on their expert study of what the experts have said about Iraq.
For those who may have been too young to see, or are too old to remember, our original study, "The Experts Speak: The Definitive Compendium of Authoritative Misinformation" (1984), we recall that notwithstanding the best efforts of our worldwide cadre of researchers, we were unable to identify a single expert who was right.They almost had it with this one.
At the time, despite those findings, our scholarly integrity compelled us to concede the statistical probability that, in theory, the experts might be right as much as half the time. It was simply that we hadn't found any.
June 14, 2006: "I think -- tide turning -- see, as I remember -- I was raised in the desert, but tides kind of -- it's easy to see a tide turn -- did I say those words?" ( George W. Bush.)
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