Saturday, January 28, 2006

Another Bushovik failure

And as you read the WaPo article, you will see that it is symtomatic of the gross incompetence of this administration.
The election outcome signals a dramatic failure in the administration's strategy for Middle East peace, according to analysts and some U.S. officials. Since the United States cannot deal with an organization labeled a terrorist organization by the State Department, Hamas's victory is likely to curtail U.S. aid, limit official U.S. contacts with the Palestinian government and stall efforts to create an independent Palestinian state.

More broadly, Hamas's victory is seen as a setback in the administration's campaign for greater democracy in the Middle East. Elections in Iran, Iraq, Egypt and now the Palestinian territories have resulted in the defeat of secular and moderate parties and the rise of Islamic parties hostile to U.S. interests.
My own opinion is that the victory by Hamas is not of itself a major defeat to peace in the region. The true failure will come if the major players do not see the as a kick in the stones to all concerned and do a major reassessmemt and realignment of how they operate and cooperate with each other.

Hamas can't complain about the Palestinian Authority anymore, they're it. This also means they can't go attacking Israelis any time they like because sovereign governments live by a different set of rules and everybody expects them to play by those rules. The Israelis will have to learn to stop killing Hamas folks any time or place they like because now they are part of a sovereign government. They need to find a way to suck it up and learn how to deal peacably with Hamas. And the US has to realize that this is the cusp of major change and put its efforts where they will do the most good, even if it plays badly on the Home Front.

We now have to wait and see who will make the first move, who will play Nixon to the others China? Or will they just go back to business as usual because killing is so much easier than thinking.

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